Best NFL Player Props for Week 16: Top Bets and Value Picks

Several NFL teams have been eliminated from the playoff chase already heading into Week 16, but only a few spots have been locked down. 

So, several teams will still bring their ‘A’ game, making their stars good targets for fans looking to bet on the best NFL player props this week.

The following are our top player prop picks for the NFL’s Week 16:

Saquon Barkley, OVER 18.5 Rushing Attempts at -130 (FanDuel)

In four of the team’s five losses, he had just 13 or less. In eight of nine wins, Barkley had 18+ carries. When Barkley touches the ball 18+ times, good things happen more often than not for the Eagles. He had 20+ in four of the last six games and won three of them (losing the fourth in OT).

The only issue may be getting pulled early when the game becomes well in hand.

D’Andre Swift, OVER 56.5 Rushing Yards at -114 (FanDuel)

Establishing the run has been crucial to the success of the Bears, with Swift leading the way. He’s had 60+ yards in his last three games, including a 63-yard game against the Packers. With Micah Parsons out, everything will be a little easier for Swift and the Bears.

Cam Ward, UNDER 180.5 Passing Yards at -110 (bet365)

The Chiefs may not have Mahomes, but they do have one of the league's better pass defenses. Ward finished UNDER in his last three games. There is no reason to think he’ll go OVER it this time.

De’Von Achane, OVER 79.5 Rushing Yards at -125 (bet365)

With seventh-round pick Quinn Ewers slated to start this week, it is likely safe to say we can expect one thing from the Dolphins this week—lots and lots and lots of running and not just to protect Ewers, but to take advantage of one of the worst run defenses in the league.

Trevor Lawrence, UNDER 220.5 Passing Yards at -114 (FanDuel)

Yes, Lawrence lit up the Jets last week, but don’t read too much into that. The Jets defense is horrible, and the Broncos defense is one of the best in the league (holding teams to under 200 yards passing a game. He may sniff 220.5 yards this week, but he will not go OVER it. Bet the UNDER.

Jacoby Brissett, OVER 36.5 Passing Attempts at -120 (FanDuel)

Brissett has thrown 40+ passes in each of his last six games. Arizona can’t run the ball, and the Cardinals will probably be playing from behind for most of the game vs. the Falcons. So, there is a solid chance he’ll be throwing early and often once again and going OVER this TOTAL.

Brandon Aubrey, 10+ points at +160 (DraftKings)

Aubrey has been the best weapon the Cowboys have this season since they can’t seem to finish drives and often end up settling for field goals. He’s made at least three field goals in his last three games. Against a solid Chargers defense, it would not be shocking to see Dallas settle once again.

Stefon Diggs, UNDER 4.5 Receptions at -178 (FanDuel)

He is the leading receiver for the Patriots, but in recent weeks, his usage has gone down. He hasn’t been targeted more than four times and hasn’t caught more than three. Against a solid Baltimore defense, don’t count on him to suddenly become a bigger part of the game plan.

Phillip Rivers, OVER 157.5 Passing Yards at -114 (FanDuel), Phillip Rivers, OVER 17.5 Pass Completions at -130 (FanDuel)

Rivers came off the street after being away from the game for five years and went on to go 18-27 for 120 yards. With a little more time and practice within the offense, a veteran like Rivers will play even better this week. It doesn’t hurt that the 49ers' pass defense is sub-par. He’ll go OVER both totals.